BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Fresno State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Fresno State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.55 |
26.73 (-2.81) |
25.78 |
22.37 (-3.41) |
22.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
379.73 |
345.96 (-33.77) |
332.89 |
299.57 (-33.32) |
299.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.64 |
4.96 (-0.68) |
5.42 |
5.05 (-0.37) |
5.05 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.00 |
24.35 (+0.35) |
24.78 |
26.11 (+1.33) |
26.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
386.82 |
422.36 (+35.54) |
334.78 |
333.80 (-0.97) |
333.80 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.57 |
6.00 (+0.43) |
4.84 |
4.78 (-0.07) |
4.78 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Michigan |
17.27 |
26.52 |
+9.25 |
43.79 |
35.17% |
L 10-30 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Sacramento State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 46-30 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 |
New Mexico State |
36.99 |
16.00 |
-21.00 |
52.99 |
83.68% |
W 48-0 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
@New Mexico |
37.95 |
33.08 |
-4.87 |
71.04 |
57.81% |
W 38-21 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UNLV |
21.25 |
36.14 |
+14.89 |
57.38 |
26.12% |
L 14-59 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Washington State |
25.27 |
31.96 |
+6.69 |
57.24 |
39.27% |
L 17-25 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Nevada |
25.63 |
24.31 |
-1.33 |
49.94 |
52.13% |
W 24-21 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-27 |
San José State |
26.15 |
25.08 |
-1.07 |
51.22 |
51.71% |
W 33-10 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Hawai'i |
25.97 |
15.54 |
-10.43 |
41.51 |
66.72% |
L 20-21 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Air Force |
20.65 |
16.57 |
-4.08 |
37.22 |
56.54% |
L 28-36 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Colorado State |
22.65 |
19.65 |
-3.00 |
42.31 |
54.82% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@UCLA |
21.97 |
25.66 |
+3.69 |
47.63 |
44.09% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
25.45% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
50.35% |
25.45% |
74.55% |
| 7-5 |
24.20% |
75.80% |
24.20% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.27% |
| 3-9 |
1.71% |
| 4-8 |
6.33% |
| 5-7 |
14.54% |
| 6-6 |
22.45% |
| 7-5 |
24.38% |
| 8-4 |
18.14% |
| 9-3 |
8.73% |
| 10-2 |
2.85% |
| 11-1 |
0.54% |
| 12-0 |
0.06% |