BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#73 Fresno State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Fresno State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#102)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.55 |
26.73 (-2.81) |
24.82 |
22.64 (-2.18) |
22.64 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
379.73 |
345.96 (-33.77) |
329.18 |
308.71 (-20.47) |
308.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.64 |
4.96 (-0.68) |
5.39 |
5.20 (-0.20) |
5.20 (+0.00) |
Defense (#41)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.00 |
24.35 (+0.35) |
24.09 |
26.01 (+1.92) |
26.01 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
386.82 |
422.36 (+35.54) |
345.27 |
348.53 (+3.26) |
348.53 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.57 |
6.00 (+0.43) |
4.90 |
4.83 (-0.07) |
4.83 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Michigan |
15.43 |
28.17 |
+12.73 |
43.60 |
29.58% |
L 10-30 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Sacramento State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 46-30 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 |
New Mexico State |
38.03 |
18.05 |
-19.97 |
56.08 |
82.04% |
W 48-0 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
@New Mexico |
37.79 |
31.79 |
-5.99 |
69.58 |
59.61% |
W 38-21 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UNLV |
18.77 |
33.31 |
+14.55 |
52.08 |
26.67% |
L 14-59 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Washington State |
26.49 |
29.73 |
+3.24 |
56.23 |
44.80% |
L 17-25 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Nevada |
25.83 |
24.44 |
-1.39 |
50.27 |
52.24% |
W 24-21 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-27 |
San José State |
27.03 |
24.86 |
-2.17 |
51.88 |
53.48% |
W 33-10 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Hawai'i |
26.83 |
16.91 |
-9.92 |
43.74 |
65.91% |
L 20-21 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Air Force |
21.44 |
18.95 |
-2.49 |
40.39 |
53.99% |
L 28-36 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Colorado State |
24.28 |
20.87 |
-3.41 |
45.16 |
55.47% |
W 28-22 |
6-5 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@UCLA |
19.94 |
24.27 |
+4.33 |
44.21 |
43.06% |
L 13-20 |
6-6 |
| 2024-12-23 |
Northern Illinois |
18.73 |
16.66 |
-2.07 |
35.39 |
53.31% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
46.62% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-6 |
53.38% |
46.62% |
53.38% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.01% |
| 2-11 |
0.13% |
| 3-10 |
0.95% |
| 4-9 |
3.87% |
| 5-8 |
10.12% |
| 6-7 |
18.55% |
| 7-6 |
23.49% |
| 8-5 |
21.27% |
| 9-4 |
13.51% |
| 10-3 |
5.99% |
| 11-2 |
1.77% |
| 12-1 |
0.31% |
| 13-0 |
0.02% |