BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Fresno State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Fresno State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.55 |
26.73 (-2.81) |
25.40 |
14.69 (-10.71) |
19.21 (+4.51) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
379.73 |
345.96 (-33.77) |
293.00 |
193.57 (-99.43) |
250.72 (+57.15) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.64 |
4.96 (-0.68) |
4.35 |
3.18 (-1.17) |
3.85 (+0.67) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.00 |
24.35 (+0.35) |
27.00 |
23.77 (-3.23) |
23.99 (+0.22) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
386.82 |
422.36 (+35.54) |
266.80 |
273.71 (+6.91) |
329.45 (+55.74) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.57 |
6.00 (+0.43) |
4.20 |
4.17 (-0.03) |
4.85 (+0.69) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Michigan |
11.55 |
33.84 |
+22.28 |
45.39 |
14.26% |
L 10-30 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Sacramento State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 46-30 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 |
New Mexico State |
29.80 |
14.26 |
-15.54 |
44.06 |
74.92% |
W 48-0 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
@New Mexico |
39.88 |
30.38 |
-9.50 |
70.26 |
65.23% |
W 38-21 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UNLV |
19.94 |
37.11 |
+17.17 |
57.05 |
22.45% |
L 14-59 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Washington State |
16.98 |
31.37 |
+14.39 |
48.35 |
26.93% |
L 17-25 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Nevada |
22.01 |
19.72 |
-2.29 |
41.73 |
53.67% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-27 |
San José State |
23.98 |
26.26 |
+2.28 |
50.24 |
46.34% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Hawai'i |
25.77 |
14.96 |
-10.81 |
40.73 |
67.34% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Air Force |
19.60 |
12.70 |
-6.91 |
32.30 |
61.08% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-24 |
Colorado State |
24.18 |
17.52 |
-6.65 |
41.70 |
60.67% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@UCLA |
12.47 |
22.44 |
+9.97 |
34.91 |
34.02% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
0.83% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
6.40% |
0.83% |
99.17% |
| 5-7 |
19.62% |
7.24% |
92.76% |
| 6-6 |
31.64% |
26.86% |
73.14% |
| 7-5 |
27.38% |
58.50% |
41.50% |
| 8-4 |
11.96% |
85.87% |
14.13% |
| 9-3 |
2.17% |
97.83% |
2.17% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.03% |
| 2-10 |
0.47% |
| 3-9 |
2.78% |
| 4-8 |
9.01% |
| 5-7 |
18.53% |
| 6-6 |
25.36% |
| 7-5 |
23.10% |
| 8-4 |
13.83% |
| 9-3 |
5.43% |
| 10-2 |
1.25% |
| 11-1 |
0.19% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |